TRADEWIND

Daily stock market signal

Know when to be in the market, and when to step out.

Each trading day, near the close, TRADEWIND publishes one signal. While the market is rising, the model stays invested for growth. When the market turns down, it moves to defensive assets. You place the trades in your own brokerage account a handful of times a year, yourself or with your AI assistant.

Start 7-day free trial See the track record

We never touch your money, and we trade the same signals ourselves. Cancel anytime.

25.8%
Return / year
$0.94M
$10k since 2007
0.94
Sharpe ratio
−40%
Worst drawdown
Growth of $10,000 · log scale TRADEWINDS&P 500
Backtested 2007–2026, net of realistic costs · not a live track record
GROWTH: stay invested
Market trend is rising · no change today Sample daily signal
The idea

The biggest losses come from staying in during a crash.

Buy and hold rides every boom and every crash all the way down. In 2008 the S&P 500 fell 55%. It took years to come back.

TRADEWIND checks the market's trend once a day. While it is rising, the model stays invested for growth. When it turns down, it moves everything to defensive assets and waits for the trend to recover. Most days nothing changes.

TRADEWIND
−40%
S&P 500
−55%

Worst peak-to-trough drop in the 2007 to 2026 backtest.

How it works

One signal a day. Clear orders when it changes.

The rules are fixed and the same for every member. There is nothing to watch and no charts to read.

Step 1

We check the market

After each trading day, the rules check whether the stock market's trend is rising or turning down.

→ Every trading day
Step 2

You get the signal

The model's allocation, with exact percentages. Most days it simply says hold.

→ Email and Telegram
Step 3

You place the trades

In your own brokerage account in a few minutes, yourself or with your AI assistant. A handful of times a year.

→ Your account, your control
The track record

Nineteen years, every crisis included.

2008, 2020, 2022. The numbers below run through every crash since 2007, after realistic trading costs.

Strategy$10,000 becameReturn / yrSharpeWorst drop
TRADEWIND$944,07725.8%0.94−40%
S&P 500 (buy & hold)$76,31910.8%0.62−55%

Backtested January 2007 to October 2026, after realistic trading costs. This is a backtest, not a live track record. Past performance does not predict future results. See disclosures below.

The math, honestly

What could compounding do?

A projection, not a promise. It compounds the backtested rate. The real future will differ.

At the backtested 25.8% / year
$99,200
from $10,000 over 10 years
If it ran half as hot (13%/yr)$33,600
Total multiple9.9×

Compounding is not a guarantee. The same strategy went through drops of about 40% along the way, and the next decade may look nothing like the last. Invest only what you can hold through a deep drawdown.

Membership

What members get

The daily signal

Each trading day, near the close, see the model's allocation with exact percentages, and a calculator for your own account size. Most days it says hold.

Alerts when it changes

When the signal changes, you get an email and a Telegram message listing every sell and buy, with the new percentages. On Telegram, send /calc for your exact dollar amounts.

Your dashboard

Today's allocation, every change we've published, the track record, and an estimate of your own portfolio.

You stay in control

Every trade happens in your own account, placed by you or your AI assistant. We never hold a dollar of your money.

Auto-trade with your AI assistant NEW

Connect TRADEWIND and Robinhood's agentic trading to Claude, ChatGPT or another assistant that supports connectors (MCP). When the allocation changes, one message has your assistant get the exact orders from TRADEWIND and place them in your Robinhood account, after you approve. Not on Robinhood? Ask it for the exact orders and place them yourself. Our connector is read-only and private to you, and TRADEWIND never sees your brokerage login.

Membership

Founding membership.

Founding members lock this rate for as long as they stay subscribed. The price rises as the live track record grows, and founders keep theirs.

Founding · Monthly
$49$19/mo
Save 61%. Founders keep this rate while subscribed
Try free for 7 days · cancel anytime
  • The daily signal: the model's exact allocation
  • Email & Telegram alerts the moment it changes
  • AI Connector: auto-trade with your AI assistant
  • Dashboard with your portfolio estimate
  • Your rate never rises while you stay
Start free trial
Best value
Founding · Yearly
$490$190/yr
Save $300 a year, under $16/mo
Try free for 7 days · cancel anytime
  • Everything in the monthly plan
  • Two months free versus paying monthly
  • Founding rate, locked while you stay
Start free trial

7-day free trial (one per person and card), then billed automatically until you cancel. Cancel anytime from your account. By starting a trial you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy.

Questions

Common questions

Do you ever touch my money?
Never. You keep your money in your own brokerage account and place each trade yourself, a handful per year. We have no access to your funds. That is why this isn't money management.
How bad can the drawdowns get?
Real. The strategy can use leverage, and its worst fall from a peak in the backtest was about 40%, in 2026. Buy and hold's worst was 55%, in 2008. It can also fall faster than the market: in the 2026 drop it lost far more than the S&P 500 did over the same weeks. Deeper drops are possible: leverage and individual stocks mean a future loss can exceed anything in the backtest. It is not for money you will need next year. Size your position to something you could hold through a drop of half its value.
Is this a backtest or live results?
The headline numbers are a backtest over January 2007 to October 2026, after realistic costs. It is not an audited live track record. The live signal is now trading forward, and you can watch it in your dashboard.
How often do I have to do anything?
Not often. Most days the answer is simply hold, and there is nothing to watch. You get a short daily brief after each market close, and when the signal actually changes you get a clear action alert by email and Telegram. The trades take a few minutes.
What am I paying for?
A rules-based answer, every trading day: what the model holds and in what percentages. You don't have to watch the market or guess. On the few days a year it changes, you get a clear alert listing each trade.
Does it work with AI assistants?
Yes. Members get a private connector link for AI assistants that support MCP connectors, like Claude and ChatGPT. Your assistant can read today's allocation and work out the exact orders for your account; connect Robinhood's agentic trading too, and it can place them for you after you approve. The TRADEWIND connector is read-only: it can't trade or see your brokerage, and every member gets the same information.
Is there a TRADEWIND MCP server?
Yes. Every member gets a private TRADEWIND MCP server link, called the AI Connector in the member portal, for Claude, ChatGPT and other apps that support custom MCP connectors. Its tools are read-only: today's allocation and the exact orders for an account. Add a brokerage MCP like Robinhood's agentic trading, and your assistant can place the trades after you approve.
Can my AI assistant auto-trade TRADEWIND for me?
Yes, through Robinhood's agentic trading, which works with Claude, ChatGPT and other AI apps and trades a separate Robinhood account. Add both connectors, and when the allocation changes, one message to your assistant gets the exact orders from TRADEWIND and places them, after you approve. Members get step-by-step setup in the portal. TRADEWIND never trades for you and never sees your brokerage login.
What do I need to get started?
A regular brokerage account that can buy common ETFs and stocks (a free Robinhood account works, and fractional shares help). No options, no margin, no shorting. Just buying and selling a few funds and stocks.
Is this financial advice?
No. TRADEWIND is a publication, not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer. Every subscriber receives the same general, impersonal model allocation. It isn't personalized investment advice, doesn't account for your circumstances, and we never manage or trade your account. You are responsible for your own decisions. Please read the disclosures below and consider speaking with a licensed advisor.

Get started

Get the signal before the next change.

Seven days free on either plan. Card on the next step, nothing charged until the trial ends, cancel anytime.

7-day free trial (one per person and card), then billed automatically until you cancel. Cancel anytime from your account. By starting a trial you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy.